Ownership and the Trade Market
(Part of Loaded Dice.)
Excess copies by publication year
I define "excess copies" as the number of copies put up for trade,
minus the number of people who want a copy in trade. If a game is in
demand, its "excess copies" will be a negative number.
Newer games are much more in demand. Newer games are also more
likely to be available, though a game that's only one or two years old is
almost certainly not available.

Excess copies versus rating
The median game rating is about 6.8. Games with a rating lower than
that tend to have excess copies, and games with a rating higher than
that tend to be in demand.

Low-rated games that are in demand anyway
These games have low ratings but lots of people want
them—often because of a media tie-in or prurient interest.
- Paradice (4.96, -39 excess)
- Busen Memo (5.00, -38 excess)
- Cloudbusters (4.00, -27 excess)
- The Campaign for North Africa (4.91, -25 excess)
- The Legend of Zelda (4.94, -23 excess)
- The Adventure League (4.67, -19 excess)
- Angry Birds: Knock on Wood (4.79, -19 excess)
- Up Against The Wall, Mother****er! (4.75, -18 excess)
- Star Wars: Death Star (2.00, -16 excess)
- Ave Caesar: Kurs 1 (4.00, -16 excess)
- There and Back Again (4.25, -13 excess)
- Habana Taxi (4.57, -13 excess)
- Doggie Doo (4.75, -13 excess)
- Green Ghost (4.81, -12 excess)
- Bohn Hansa: Die Städtemehrheiten (4.92, -12 excess)
- Star Trek The Next Generation: The Board Game (4.64, -11 excess)
- Svea Rike: Batalj (Expansion #1) (4.90, -11 excess)
- Doctor Who Micro-Universe (3.00, -10 excess)
- Gay Monopoly (3.35, -10 excess)
- The Hammer of Thor: The Game of Norse Mythology (4.74, -10 excess)
- Cthulhu Horror (1.00, -9 excess)
- Order of the Stick Adventure Game: The Linear Guild (3.00, -9 excess)
- Stargate SG-1: La Vengeance d'Apophis (4.33, -9 excess)
- Twin Peaks Murder Mystery Game (4.40, -9 excess)
- Switch: Secrets of the Temple (4.97, -9 excess)
- Uruk: Wiege der Zivilisation - 5-/6-player expansion (4.50, -8 excess)
- The Journeys of St. Paul (4.50, -8 excess)
- Sum-Up (4.88, -8 excess)
- Atmosfear: The Soul Rangers (4.96, -8 excess)
- War of Wizards (4.19, -7 excess)
- Iron Chef Board Game: The Ultimate Cooking Challenge (4.40, -7 excess)
- Doctor Who: The Interactive Electronic Board Game (4.48, -7 excess)
- Jungle Speed Scooby Doo (4.50, -7 excess)
- Sushi - Jalape単o War (4.62, -7 excess)
- Battle of the Ring (4.67, -7 excess)
- The Goonies (4.72, -7 excess)
Low-rated games with many excess copies
People bought 'em, and now they're trying to unload 'em.
- Monopoly (4.50, 183 excess)
- MindTrap (4.60, 154 excess)
- Outdoor Survival (4.40, 150 excess)
- The Hobbit (4.69, 125 excess)
- Key to the Kingdom (4.93, 114 excess)
- In a Pickle (4.89, 114 excess)
- The Game of Life (3.93, 113 excess)
- Battle of the Sexes (3.35, 103 excess)
- Image (4.72, 97 excess)
- Battleship (4.44, 78 excess)
- The Mad Magazine Game (4.79, 77 excess)
- Wyvern (4.98, 73 excess)
- Fraud Squad (4.38, 73 excess)
- Pachisi (4.39, 72 excess)
- Tom Clancy's Politika (4.10, 67 excess)
- Sim City: The Card Game (4.29, 64 excess)
- A Question of Scruples (4.39, 63 excess)
- Star Wars: Jedi Unleashed (4.45, 62 excess)
- Anti-Monopoly (3.56, 61 excess)
- Sorry! (4.58, 59 excess)
- Pay Day (4.53, 59 excess)
- Edison & Co. (4.43, 59 excess)
- The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring (3.31, 58 excess)
- Air War: Modern Tactical Air Combat (4.96, 57 excess)
- Fact or Crap (3.67, 57 excess)
- Dante's Inferno (4.81, 54 excess)
- Would You Rather...? (4.54, 53 excess)
- The Worst-Case Scenario Survival Game (2.94, 52 excess)
Low-rated games people are holding on to
These games have low ratings, but a lot of people own them, and
they're not trying to get rid of them. (This list does not include
childrens' games.)
- Bingo (2.52, 362 owned, 7 trading)
- Blackjack (4.55, 297 owned, 1 trading)
- Le Boomb (4.52, 230 owned, 6 trading)
- Roulette (3.44, 182 owned, 8 trading)
- Roller Coaster Hippo (4.19, 174 owned, 7 trading)
- Fox and Geese (4.68, 173 owned, 6 trading)
- Danger (4.41, 157 owned, 7 trading)
- Dschungel (4.61, 155 owned, 9 trading)
- Zombies!!! 6.66: Fill in the _______!!! (4.61, 143 owned, 5 trading)
- Pirateology: The Game (3.83, 142 owned, 9 trading)
- I.Q. 2000 (4.30, 133 owned, 9 trading)
- Dark Victory : The Battle of the Alamo (4.37, 130 owned, 5 trading)
- Der Schattendieb (3.89, 127 owned, 7 trading)
- Friends Trivia Game (4.32, 126 owned, 8 trading)
- Spanish Civil War Battles - Jarama, Brunete, Penarroya and Guadalajara (4.14, 125 owned, 4 trading)
- Sorry! Express (4.61, 124 owned, 5 trading)
- Where in the World is Carmen Sandiego? (4.66, 122 owned, 5 trading)
- Noteability (4.47, 121 owned, 8 trading)
- Up & Down (4.55, 115 owned, 5 trading)
- Scrimmage (3.49, 114 owned, 8 trading)
- Bondespelet (4.35, 113 owned, 2 trading)
- Monopoly: London (4.67, 112 owned, 2 trading)
- Monopoly: Star Trek The Next Generation (4.22, 111 owned, 8 trading)
- Go Tell The Spartans (4.24, 105 owned, 8 trading)
- Kanji Battle (4.45, 105 owned, 1 trading)
- Khyber Rifles (4.59, 102 owned, 9 trading)
- Müller & Sohn (4.38, 102 owned, 9 trading)
- Spices of the World (4.66, 101 owned, 9 trading)
- Game of the Year (4.60, 101 owned, 6 trading)
High-rated games with many excess copies
Some good games you should be able to get cheaply.
- Magic: The Gathering (7.32, 417 excess)
- Diplomacy (7.13, 405 excess)
- Carcassonne (7.47, 354 excess)
- The Settlers of Catan (7.53, 255 excess)
- Heroscape Master Set: Rise of the Valkyrie (7.37, 179 excess)
- Squad Leader (7.45, 149 excess)
- Bohnanza (7.15, 144 excess)
- In the Shadow of the Emperor (7.08, 132 excess)
- Perikles (7.04, 112 excess)
- Legend of the Five Rings (7.07, 110 excess)
- Citadels (7.29, 102 excess)
- Blokus (7.17, 102 excess)
- Carcassonne: Hunters and Gatherers (7.19, 97 excess)
- Vegas Showdown (7.28, 93 excess)
- Travel Blokus (7.10, 90 excess)
- The Settlers of Catan: 5-6 Player Extension (7.11, 75 excess)
- Bang! Dodge City (7.00, 74 excess)
- Lord of the Rings: The Confrontation (7.30, 68 excess)
- The Settlers of Catan Card Game Expansions (7.24, 65 excess)
- Lord of the Rings: Friends & Foes (7.36, 61 excess)
- Blue Moon Expansion: The Mimix (7.24, 61 excess)
- Flat Top (7.17, 61 excess)
- Dominion: Black Market Promo Card (7.19, 59 excess)
- Dominion: Envoy Promo Card (7.29, 58 excess)
- BattleLore: Earth Elemental (7.13, 58 excess)
- Middle-earth CCG (7.06, 56 excess)
- Acquire (7.43, 55 excess)
- Ikusa (7.06, 55 excess)
- BattleLore: Call to Arms (7.41, 53 excess)
- Doom: The Boardgame (7.02, 53 excess)
- Chess (7.08, 51 excess)
High-rated games people are dumping
These games have high ratings, but a substantial fraction of the
owned copies are up for trade. Perhaps they lack replay value.
- Patential: Prescription for Success (6.17, 16 owned, 5 trading)
- Multilingo (6.20, 19 owned, 6 trading)
- Marvel Super Heroes Game (6.10, 28 owned, 9 trading)
- Bop It (6.20, 3 owned, 1 trading)
- Quinto (6.60, 3 owned, 1 trading)
- Strรฅtrรถvarespelet (7.00, 3 owned, 1 trading)
- Enlightenment (6.40, 6 owned, 2 trading)
- Talking Football (6.12, 9 owned, 3 trading)
- Celtos (6.17, 9 owned, 3 trading)
- Songburst Country & Western Edition (6.11, 12 owned, 4 trading)
- Corporate Pursuit (6.22, 12 owned, 4 trading)
- Deadloque (1st edition) (6.42, 12 owned, 4 trading)
- Takeover: The Stock Market Game (6.10, 15 owned, 5 trading)
- Miscellaneous Miniatures Game Accessory (6.43, 52 owned, 18 trading)
- Outside the Scope of BGG (6.78, 942 owned, 331 trading)
- Passtimes (6.20, 14 owned, 5 trading)
- Perry Rhodan Sammelkartenspiel (7.07, 14 owned, 5 trading)
- Squish Blocks (6.08, 8 owned, 3 trading)
- Thataway (6.80, 8 owned, 3 trading)
- Hættuspil (6.83, 8 owned, 3 trading)
- Epic Battles Trading Card Game (6.07, 13 owned, 5 trading)
- Trade Deadline Hockey (6.58, 13 owned, 5 trading)
- Hundimäng (6.73, 7 owned, 3 trading)
- Sports Franchise (6.64, 14 owned, 6 trading)
- Wordfare! (7.30, 4 owned, 2 trading)
- Werewolf's Castle (7.40, 4 owned, 2 trading)
- Mindgammon (8.33, 4 owned, 2 trading)
High-rated games that almost nobody owns
These games have strangely high ratings, given how few people
own them. I limited this list to non-self-published games published
before 2011 and having at least seven ratings.
- Battling Gladiators (8.40, 1 owned)
- Grim Reaper (7.86, 1 owned)
- Consensus Junior (7.69, 4 owned)
- Entrapment (7.62, 4 owned)
- The Art of Science (7.57, 4 owned)
- Sthlm Maffia (7.42, 4 owned)
- Rolling Freight (7.38, 4 owned)
- Alfred's Wyke (7.36, 4 owned)
- Mirador (7.00, 2 owned)
- Land of Lakes (6.89, 1 owned)
- Word Squares (6.89, 3 owned)
- Cash Trap (6.79, 3 owned)
- Monster auf der Flucht (6.57, 3 owned)
- Metal Mania Alias (6.56, 4 owned)
- Flip kick (6.45, 4 owned)
- Fortac (6.14, 3 owned)
Pre-1990 games still greatly in demand
These games are probably out of print or too expensive. Reprinting
these games, or coming out with a cheaper edition, would make a lot of
people happy.
- Dune (1979, -470 excess)
- Crokinole (1867, -371 excess)
- Survive: Escape from Atlantis! (1982, -357 excess)
- Merchant of Venus (1988, -356 excess)
- 1830: Railways & Robber Barons (1986, -218 excess)
- Up Front (1983, -199 excess)
- Aliens (1989, -172 excess)
- Full Métal Planète (1988, -166 excess)
- Space Hulk (1989, -165 excess)
- Magic Realm (1979, -160 excess)
- Kremlin (1986, -154 excess)
- Die Macher (1986, -139 excess)
- Crude: The Oil Game (1974, -131 excess)
- Wiz-War (1983, -122 excess)
- Waldschattenspiel (1985, -117 excess)
- Gunslinger (1982, -105 excess)
- Alien Ascendancy (0, -105 excess)
- Code 777 (1985, -104 excess)
- Rommel in the Desert (1982, -103 excess)
- A la carte (1989, -100 excess)
- Broadsides and Boarding Parties (1982, -95 excess)
- Tales of the Arabian Nights (1985, -92 excess)
- Bausack (1987, -92 excess)
- Star Wars: Assault on Hoth (1988, -91 excess)
- Ambush! Silver Star (1987, -91 excess)
- Axiom (1988, -90 excess)
- Auf Achse (1987, -86 excess)
- Heroscape Marvel Expansion Set: The Reinforcements Arrive (0, -86 excess)
- Borderlands (1982, -84 excess)
- Fireball Island (1986, -81 excess)
- Escape from Colditz (1973, -79 excess)
- Black Vienna (1987, -75 excess)
- Quebec 1759 (1972, -74 excess)
- Empires of the Middle Ages (1980, -71 excess)
- Hotel Life (1989, -70 excess)
- Fortress America (1986, -70 excess)
- Titan (1980, -69 excess)
- Thunder Road (1986, -67 excess)
- Thrilling Tales of Adventure! (0, -67 excess)
- Conflict of Heroes: First Men In - Normandy 1944 (0, -65 excess)
- Advanced Heroquest (1989, -64 excess)
- Civilization Western Extension Map (1988, -63 excess)
- Ambush! Purple Heart (1985, -61 excess)
- Unpublished Prototype (0, -60 excess)
- Desert War (1984, -59 excess)
- Raid on St. Nazaire (1987, -58 excess)
- Barbarian, Kingdom & Empire (1983, -56 excess)
- Subbuteo (1947, -55 excess)
- Swords & Sorcery (1978, -55 excess)
- Ave Caesar (1989, -51 excess)
- Dark Tower (1981, -51 excess)
Pre-1990 games with many excess copies
My goal with this list was to find fads that have come and gone,
but I don't think it worked. Most of these games are in the
oldies-but-goodies category.
- Risk (1959, 482 excess)
- Diplomacy (1959, 405 excess)
- Scotland Yard (1983, 391 excess)
- Axis & Allies (1981, 367 excess)
- 221B Baker Street: The Master Detective Game (1975, 280 excess)
- Outside the Scope of BGG (0, 268 excess)
- Mille Bornes (1954, 247 excess)
- Stratego (1947, 244 excess)
- Rise and Decline of the Third Reich (1974, 244 excess)
- HeroQuest (1989, 236 excess)
- Stocks & Bonds (1964, 216 excess)
- Clue (1948, 215 excess)
- Twixt (1962, 210 excess)
- Scrabble (1948, 197 excess)
- The aMAZEing Labyrinth (1986, 192 excess)
- Kingmaker (1974, 188 excess)
- Abalone (1987, 184 excess)
- Monopoly (1933, 183 excess)
- Pit (1903, 183 excess)
- Feudal (1967, 174 excess)
- Facts in Five (1967, 171 excess)
- Luftwaffe (1971, 168 excess)
- Wizard's Quest (1979, 160 excess)
- Masterpiece (1970, 155 excess)
- Sequence (1982, 155 excess)
- Pirateer (1978, 154 excess)
- Pente (1977, 153 excess)
- Liar's Dice (1987, 152 excess)
Games that aren't moving
Lots of people are offering to trade these games, and lots of
people want them. They're not rare: just about everyone who wants a
copy could get one. But for some reason, the market isn't
clearing. Apparently people don't want these games as badly as they
think they do.
- Clans (131 available, 139 wanted)
- Android (127 available, 128 wanted)
- Carolus Magnus (111 available, 106 wanted)
- Niagara (179 available, 185 wanted)
- Heroscape Master Set: Swarm of the Marro (80 available, 84 wanted)
- The Mississippi Queen (132 available, 132 wanted)
- Space Hulk: Death Angel - The Card Game (153 available, 145 wanted)
- Advanced Squad Leader (79 available, 85 wanted)
- Conquest of the Empire (165 available, 160 wanted)
- El Capitán (95 available, 93 wanted)
- A House Divided (113 available, 111 wanted)
- History of the World (151 available, 154 wanted)
- Serenissima (97 available, 104 wanted)
- Starship Catan (155 available, 149 wanted)
- Carcassonne: Traders & Builders (115 available, 122 wanted)
- Mü & More (76 available, 76 wanted)
- Botswana (77 available, 86 wanted)
- Palazzo (88 available, 79 wanted)
- Intrigue (101 available, 101 wanted)
- Arkadia (176 available, 175 wanted)
- Mesopotamia (82 available, 76 wanted)
- DungeonQuest (95 available, 98 wanted)
- Star Wars: Epic Duels (154 available, 155 wanted)
- Pirate's Cove (244 available, 249 wanted)
- Iliad (85 available, 89 wanted)
- Polarity (117 available, 109 wanted)
- Marvel Heroes (134 available, 131 wanted)
- Quoridor (122 available, 122 wanted)
- Gheos (109 available, 115 wanted)
If wishes were horses
These games are on lots of wishlists, and they're available for
trade, but nobody actually wants to take the "receiving" end of the
trade.
- Trivial Pursuit (27 wished, 120 trading)
- Checkers (23 wished, 18 trading)
- Dirtside II (16 wished, 1 trading)
- Stocks & Bonds (15 wished, 216 trading)
- Catan Dice Game Plus (14 wished, 3 trading)
- Battlestar Galactica (12 wished, 23 trading)
- UNO Attack! (12 wished, 20 trading)
- Jenga Xtreme (12 wished, 12 trading)
- Oware (11 wished, 3 trading)
- Yikerz! (11 wished, 2 trading)
- Surakarta (11 wished, 1 trading)
- Therapy (10 wished, 25 trading)
- Aljubarrota (10 wished, 4 trading)
- The Big Taboo (10 wished, 3 trading)
- Tricky Town (10 wished, 3 trading)
- HFP - Hard Furry Pets (10 wished, 2 trading)
- Tri-Cross (10 wished, 1 trading)
- Joe Name It (10 wished, 1 trading)
- Math Dice (10 wished, 1 trading)
- Assassin (9 wished, 43 trading)
- Frantic Frankfurt (9 wished, 23 trading)
- Manchu (9 wished, 21 trading)
- Ruckus (9 wished, 16 trading)
- Bandits (9 wished, 11 trading)
- Trivial Pursuit: Disney Edition (9 wished, 5 trading)
Next: 2012 Update